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Research Output

2020

Accelerated viral dynamics in bat cell lines, with implications for zoonotic emergence

Brook, C. E., Boots, M., Chandran, K., Dobson, A. P., Drosten, C., Graham, A. L., Grenfell, B. T., Müller, M. A., Ng, M., Wang, L. F. & Leeuwen, A. V., Feb 2020, In : eLife. 9, e48401.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
13 Scopus citations

A competing-risks model explains hierarchical spatial coupling of measles epidemics en route to national elimination

Lau, M. S. Y., Becker, A. D., Korevaar, H. M., Caudron, Q., Shaw, D. J., Metcalf, C. J. E., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., Jul 1 2020, In : Nature Ecology and Evolution. 4, 7, p. 934-939 6 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
1 Scopus citations

Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19

Buckee, C. O., Balsari, S., Chan, J., Crosas, M., Dominici, F., Gasser, U., Grad, Y. H., Grenfell, B., Halloran, M. E., Kraemer, M. U. G., Lipsitch, M., Metcalf, C. J. E., Meyers, L. A., Perkins, T. A., Santillana, M., Scarpino, S. V., Viboud, C., Wesolowski, A. & Schroeder, A., Apr 10 2020, In : Science. 368, 6487, p. 145-146 2 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalLetter

Open Access
19 Scopus citations

A global lmmunological observatory to meet a time of pandemics

Mina, M. J., Metcalf, C. J. E., McDermott, A. B., Douek, D. C., Farrar, J. & Grenfell, B. T., 2020, In : eLife. 9, p. 1-5 5 p., e58989.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
1 Scopus citations

An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China

Tian, H., Liu, Y., Li, Y., Wu, C. H., Chen, B., Kraemer, M. U. G., Li, B., Cai, J., Xu, B., Yang, Q., Wang, B., Yang, P., Cui, Y., Song, Y., Zheng, P., Wang, Q., Bjornstad, O. N., Yang, R., Grenfell, B. T., Pybus, O. G. & 1 others, Dye, C., May 8 2020, In : Science. 368, 6491, p. 638-642 5 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
95 Scopus citations
Open Access

Climatological, virological and sociological drivers of current and projected dengue fever outbreak dynamics in Sri Lanka

Wagner, C. E., Hooshyar, M., Baker, R. E., Yang, W., Arinaminpathy, N., Vecchi, G., Metcalf, C. J. E., Porporato, A. & Grenfell, B. T., Jun 1 2020, In : Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 17, 167, p. 20200075 1 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Coexisting attractors in the context of cross-scale population dynamics: Measles in London as a case study

Becker, A. D., Zhou, S. H., Wesolowski, A. & Grenfell, B. T., Apr 29 2020, In : Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 287, 1925, 20191510.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Disease and healthcare burden of COVID-19 in the United States

Miller, I. F., Becker, A. D., Grenfell, B. T. & Metcalf, C. J. E., Aug 1 2020, In : Nature medicine. 26, 8, p. 1212-1217 6 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
1 Scopus citations
1 Scopus citations

Factors Associated with Measles Transmission in the United States during the Postelimination Era

Gastañaduy, P. A., Funk, S., Lopman, B. A., Rota, P. A., Gambhir, M., Grenfell, B. & Paul, P., Jan 2020, In : JAMA Pediatrics. 174, 1, p. 56-62 7 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
1 Scopus citations
Open Access

Population implications of the deployment of novel universal vaccines against epidemic and pandemic influenza

Arinaminpathy, N., Riley, S., Barclay, W. S., Saad-Roy, C. & Grenfell, B., Mar 1 2020, In : Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 17, 164, 20190879.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak

Park, S. W., Bolker, B. M., Champredon, D., Earn, D. J. D., Li, M., Weitz, J. S., Grenfell, B. T. & Dushoff, J., Jul 1 2020, In : Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 17, 168, p. 20200144 1 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Seroepidemiologic study designs for determining SARS-COV-2 transmission and immunity

Clapham, H., Hay, J., Routledge, I., Takahashi, S., Choisy, M., Cummings, D., Grenfell, B., Metcalf, C. J. E., Mina, M., Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Salje, H. & Tam, C. C., Sep 2020, In : Emerging Infectious Diseases. 26, 9, p. 1978-1986 9 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

Open Access

Surveillance data confirm multiyear predictions of rotavirus dynamics in New York City

Olson, D. R., Lopman, B. A., Konty, K. J., Mathes, R. W., Papadouka, V., Ternier, A., Zucker, J. R., Simonsen, L., Grenfell, B. T. & Pitzer, V. E., 2020, In : Science Advances. 6, 9, eaax0586.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

Baker, R. E., Yang, W., Vecchi, G. A., Metcalf, C. J. E. & Grenfell, B. T., Jul 17 2020, In : Science. 369, 6501, p. 315-319 5 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
11 Scopus citations
Open Access

Using Serology to Anticipate Measles Post-honeymoon Period Outbreaks

Metcalf, C. J. E., Wesolowski, A., Winter, A. K., Lessler, J., Cauchemez, S., Moss, W. J., McLean, A. R. & Grenfell, B. T., Aug 2020, In : Trends in Microbiology. 28, 8, p. 597-600 4 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalShort survey

Open Access

Using Serology with Models to Clarify the Trajectory of the SARS-CoV-2 Emerging Outbreak

Metcalf, C. J. E., Viboud, C., Spiro, D. J. & Grenfell, B. T., 2020, (Accepted/In press) In : Trends in Immunology.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalShort survey

Open Access

Waning immunity and re-emergence of measles and mumps in the vaccine era

Yang, L., Grenfell, B. T. & Mina, M. J., Feb 2020, In : Current Opinion in Virology. 40, p. 48-54 7 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

Open Access
2019

Dynamic Perspectives on the Search for a Universal Influenza Vaccine

Saad-Roy, C. M., McDermott, A. B. & Grenfell, B. T., Apr 8 2019, In : Journal of Infectious Diseases. 219, p. S46-S56

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

3 Scopus citations

Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates

Baker, R. E., Mahmud, A. S., Wagner, C. E., Yang, W., Pitzer, V. E., Viboud, C., Vecchi, G. A., Metcalf, C. J. E. & Grenfell, B. T., Dec 1 2019, In : Nature communications. 10, 1, 5512.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
3 Scopus citations

Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling: Lessons learnt in research and capacity building

Nelson, M. I., Lloyd-Smith, J. O., Simonsen, L., Rambaut, A., Holmes, E. C., Chowell, G., Miller, M. A., Spiro, D. J., Grenfell, B. & Viboud, C., Mar 2019, In : Epidemics. 26, p. 116-127 12 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

Open Access
3 Scopus citations

Geographic transmission hubs of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States

Kissler, S. M., Gog, J. R., Viboud, C., Charu, V., Bjørnstad, O. N., Simonsen, L. & Grenfell, B. T., Mar 2019, In : Epidemics. 26, p. 86-94 9 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
7 Scopus citations

Incentivizing hospital infection control

Drohan, S. E., Levin, S. A., Grenfell, B. T. & Laxminarayan, R., 2019, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 116, 13, p. 6221-6225 5 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
3 Scopus citations

Long-term dynamics of measles in London: Titrating the impact of wars, the 1918 pandemic, and vaccination

Becker, A. D., Wesolowski, A., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., 2019, In : PLoS computational biology. 15, 9, e1007305.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
2 Scopus citations

Measles and the canonical path to elimination

Graham, M., Winter, A. K., Ferrari, M., Grenfell, B., Moss, W. J., Azman, A. S., Metcalf, C. J. E. & Lessler, J., Jan 1 2019, In : Science. 364, 6440, p. 584-587 4 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
8 Scopus citations

Measles vaccine immune escape: Should we be concerned?

Yang, L., Grenfell, B. T. & Mina, M. J., Oct 1 2019, In : European Journal of Epidemiology. 34, 10, p. 893-896 4 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

3 Scopus citations

Model diagnostics and refinement for phylodynamic models

Lau, M. S. Y., Grenfell, B. T., Worby, C. J. & Gibson, G. J., 2019, In : PLoS computational biology. 15, 4, e1006955.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Pareto rules for malaria super-spreaders and super-spreading

Cooper, L., Kang, S. Y., Bisanzio, D., Maxwell, K., Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Greenhouse, B., Drakeley, C., Arinaitwe, E., G. Staedke, S., Gething, P. W., Eckhoff, P., Reiner, R. C., Hay, S. I., Dorsey, G., Kamya, M. R., Lindsay, S. W., Grenfell, B. T. & Smith, D. L., Dec 1 2019, In : Nature communications. 10, 1, 3939.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
2 Scopus citations

Population-level mathematical modeling of antimicrobial resistance: A systematic review

Niewiadomska, A. M., Jayabalasingham, B., Seidman, J. C., Willem, L., Grenfell, B., Spiro, D. & Viboud, C., Apr 24 2019, In : BMC Medicine. 17, 1, 81.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

Open Access
7 Scopus citations

Response to Comment on “Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality”

Mina, M. J., Grenfell, B. T. & Jessica E Metcalf, C., Jan 1 2019, In : Science. 365, 6449, Y.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

3 Scopus citations
2018

Analysis of multi-level spatial data reveals strong synchrony in seasonal influenza epidemics across Norway, Sweden, and Denmark

Morris, S. E., Freiesleben de Blasio, B., Viboud, C., Wesolowski, A., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., May 2018, In : PLoS ONE. 13, 5, e0197519.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
2 Scopus citations

Deploying digital health data to optimize influenza surveillance at national and local scales

Lee, E. C., Arab, A., Goldlust, S. M., Viboud, C., Grenfell, B. T. & Bansal, S., Mar 2018, In : PLoS computational biology. 14, 3, e1006020.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
7 Scopus citations

Epidemic dynamics, interactions and predictability of enteroviruses associated with hand, foot and mouth disease in Japan

Takahashi, S., Jessica E Metcalf, E. M., Arima, Y., Fujimoto, T., Shimizu, H., Rogier Van Doorn, H., Le Van, T., Chan, Y. F., Farrar, J. J., Oishi, K. & Grenfell, B. T., 2018, In : Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 15, 146, 0006.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
8 Scopus citations

Impact and longevity of measles-associated immune suppression: A matched cohort study using data from the THIN general practice database in the UK

Gadroen, K., Dodd, C. N., Masclee, G. M. C., De Ridder, M. A. J., Weibel, D., Mina, M. J., Grenfell, B. T., Sturkenboom, M. C. J. M., Van De Vijver, D. A. M. C. & De Swart, R. L., Nov 1 2018, In : BMJ open. 8, 11, e021465.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
13 Scopus citations

Impact of public health responses during ameasles outbreak in an amish community in Ohio: Modeling the dynamics of transmission

Gastañaduy, P. A., Funk, S., Paul, P., Tatham, L., Fisher, N., Budd, J., Fowler, B., De Fijter, S., DiOrio, M., Wallace, G. S. & Grenfell, B., 2018, In : American journal of epidemiology. 187, 9, p. 2002-2010 9 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
10 Scopus citations

Modeling the measles paradox reveals the importance of cellular immunity in regulating viral clearance

Morris, S. E., Yates, A. J., de Swart, R. L., de Vries, R. D., Mina, M. J., Nelson, A. N., Lin, W. H. W., Kouyos, R. D., Griffin, D. E. & Grenfell, B. T., Dec 2018, In : PLoS pathogens. 14, 12, e1007493.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
4 Scopus citations

Predictive Modeling of Influenza Shows the Promise of Applied Evolutionary Biology

Morris, D. H., Gostic, K. M., Pompei, S., Bedford, T., Łuksza, M., Neher, R. A., Grenfell, B. T., Lässig, M. & McCauley, J. W., Feb 2018, In : Trends in Microbiology. 26, 2, p. 102-118 17 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

23 Scopus citations

Rubella vaccination in India: Identifying broad consequences of vaccine introduction and key knowledge gaps

Winter, A. K., Pramanik, S., Lessler, J., Ferrari, M., Grenfell, B. T. & Metcalf, C. J. E., Jan 1 2018, In : Epidemiology and Infection. 146, 1, p. 65-77 13 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
4 Scopus citations

The decline of malaria in Vietnam, 1991-2014

Goldlust, S. M., Thuan, P. D., Giang, D. D. H., Thang, N. D., Thwaites, G. E., Farrar, J., Thanh, N. V., Nguyen, T. D., Grenfell, B. T., Boni, M. F. & Hien, T. T., Jun 7 2018, In : Malaria Journal. 17, 1, 226.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
5 Scopus citations

The seasonality of nonpolio enteroviruses in the United States: Patterns and drivers

Pons-Salort, M., Oberste, M. S., Pallansch, M. A., Abedi, G. R., Takahashi, S., Grenfell, B. T. & Grassly, N. C., Mar 20 2018, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 115, 12, p. 3078-3083 6 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
24 Scopus citations

Unreported cases in the 2014-2016 Ebola epidemic: Spatiotemporal variation, and implications for estimating transmission

Dalziel, B. D., Lau, M. S. Y., Tiffany, A., McClelland, A., Zelner, J., Bliss, J. R. & Grenfell, B. T., Jan 2018, In : PLoS neglected tropical diseases. 12, 1, e0006161.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
7 Scopus citations

Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities

Dalziel, B. D., Kissler, S., Gog, J. R., Viboud, C., Bjørnstad, O. N., Metcalf, C. J. E. & Grenfell, B. T., Oct 5 2018, In : Science. 362, 6410, p. 75-79 5 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
41 Scopus citations

Vaccination under uncertainty

Lau, M. S. Y. & Grenfell, B. T., Sep 1 2018, In : Nature Ecology and Evolution. 2, 9, p. 1350-1351 2 p.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2017

A mechanistic spatio-temporal framework for modelling individual-to-individual transmission—With an application to the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola outbreak

Lau, M. S. Y., Gibson, G. J., Adrakey, H., McClelland, A., Riley, S., Zelner, J., Streftaris, G., Funk, S., Metcalf, J., Dalziel, B. D. & Grenfell, B. T., Oct 2017, In : PLoS computational biology. 13, 10, e1005798.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
4 Scopus citations
8 Scopus citations

Human mobility and the spatial transmission of influenza in the United States

Charu, V., Zeger, S., Gog, J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Kissler, S., Simonsen, L., Grenfell, B. T. & Viboud, C., Feb 2017, In : PLoS computational biology. 13, 2, e1005382.

Princeton University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
43 Scopus citations