Analysing the impact of dependency on conditional survival functions using copulas

Hadi Safari-Katesari, Samira Zaroudi

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Nowadays, insurance contract reserves for coupled lives are considered jointly, which has a significant influence on the process of determining actuarial reserves. In this paper, conditional survival distributions of life insurance reserves are computed using copulas. Subsequently, the results are compared with an independence case. These calculations are based on selected Archimedean copulas and apply when the ‘death of one individual’ condition exists. The estimation outcome indicates that the insurer reserves calculated by means of Archimedean copulas are far more effective than those resulting from an independence assumption. The study demonstrates that copula-based dependency modelling improves the calculations of reserves made for actuarial purposes.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)217-226
Number of pages10
JournalStatistics in Transition New Series
Volume22
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2021

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

Keywords

  • Conditional survival distribution
  • Copula
  • Kendall’s tau
  • Life table
  • Reserves

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