Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to the changing Arctic

James E. Overland, Klaus Dethloff, Jennifer A. Francis, Richard J. Hall, Edward Hanna, Seong Joong Kim, James A. Screen, Theodore G. Shepherd, Timo Vihma

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

172 Scopus citations

Abstract

Are continuing changes in the Arctic influencing wind patterns and the occurrence of extreme weather events in northern mid-latitudes? The chaotic nature of atmospheric circulation precludes easy answers. The topic is a major science challenge, as continued Arctic temperature increases are an inevitable aspect of anthropogenic climate change. We propose a perspective that rejects simple cause-and-effect pathways and notes diagnostic challenges in interpreting atmospheric dynamics. We present a way forward based on understanding multiple processes that lead to uncertainties in Arctic and mid-latitude weather and climate linkages. We emphasize community coordination for both scientific progress and communication to a broader public.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)992-999
Number of pages8
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume6
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 1 2016

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
  • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)

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