Projected climate change in the himalayas during the twenty-first century

Imtiaz Rangwala, Elisa Palazzi, James R. Miller

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this chapter we synthesize our current understanding of projected climate change in the greater Himalayan region during the twenty-first century. This understanding has been constrained by the sparsity of climate observations and relatively greater limitations of our current modeling framework to represent the complex topographical influence of this vast high elevation region. Here, we examine studies that have analyzed global and regional climate model experiments for the greater Himalayan region to assess and quantify (a) future increases in temperature and how this warming trend varies with elevation, (b) climate feedbacks that amplify the warming in these high mountain regions, (c) changes in large-scale circulation that transport moisture and energy into the region, and (d) the implications from all of the above on the nature of precipitation, i.e., phase, amount and extremes, and the fate of its cryosphere. Wherever plausible, we compare these model projections with observations from recent decades to better constrain, as well as further improve, our understanding of the perceived hydroclimatic changes in this region during the twenty-first century.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationHimalayan Weather and Climate and their Impact on the Environment
PublisherSpringer International Publishing
Pages51-71
Number of pages21
ISBN (Electronic)9783030296841
ISBN (Print)9783030296834
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2019

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)

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