Towards safer skies: A probabilistic approach to risk assessment of new aviation safety products

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

TheAviation System Risk Model (ASRM) is both an analytic method and a decision support tool to assist decision makers with risk assessments of new aviation safety products. The approach uses a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) framework to provide a causal structure for aircraft accident modeling. In particular, the modeling approach explores the probabilistic interdependencies among individual, task/environmental, and organizational factors leading to an accident.The causal models are "quantified" through knowledge engineering sessions with multiple subject matter experts. Then a portfolio of new aviation safety products, such as synthetic vision, advancedweather and communication sensors, among others, are assessed for their projected impact upon relative safety risk compared to a baseline period. TheASRM is explained with one of the models developed for a certain aircraft accident type known as Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT).

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationAdvances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005
Pages1293-1300
Number of pages8
StatePublished - Dec 1 2005
Event16th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005 - Tri City, Poland
Duration: Jun 27 2005Jun 30 2005

Publication series

NameAdvances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005
Volume2

Other

Other16th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005
CountryPoland
CityTri City
Period6/27/056/30/05

Fingerprint

Aircraft accidents
Risk assessment
Aviation
Knowledge engineering
Bayesian networks
Accidents
Communication
Sensors

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Cite this

Luxhøj, J. T., & Coit, D. W. (2005). Towards safer skies: A probabilistic approach to risk assessment of new aviation safety products. In Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005 (pp. 1293-1300). (Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005; Vol. 2).
Luxhøj, J. T. ; Coit, D. W. / Towards safer skies : A probabilistic approach to risk assessment of new aviation safety products. Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005. 2005. pp. 1293-1300 (Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005).
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Luxhøj, JT & Coit, DW 2005, Towards safer skies: A probabilistic approach to risk assessment of new aviation safety products. in Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005. Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005, vol. 2, pp. 1293-1300, 16th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005, Tri City, Poland, 6/27/05.

Towards safer skies : A probabilistic approach to risk assessment of new aviation safety products. / Luxhøj, J. T.; Coit, D. W.

Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005. 2005. p. 1293-1300 (Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005; Vol. 2).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

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Luxhøj JT, Coit DW. Towards safer skies: A probabilistic approach to risk assessment of new aviation safety products. In Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005. 2005. p. 1293-1300. (Advances in Safety and Reliability - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2005).